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Whos Up Next? Spotting the Rising Stars in Music!

Alright folks, let’s dive into my little “who’s up next” experiment! It’s all about figuring out which service in our cluster is gonna be the next one to choke under pressure. Sounds fun, right?

Whos Up Next? Spotting the Rising Stars in Music!

So, where did I even start? Well, I kicked things off by grabbing a bunch of metrics from our Prometheus setup. I’m talking CPU usage, memory consumption, request latency – the whole shebang. I wanted to see if any of our services were already showing signs of struggling.

First things first: Data Collection

  • I wrote a quick Python script to query Prometheus and pull down the relevant data. Nothing fancy, just a basic script using the Prometheus client library.
  • Then, I dumped all that juicy data into a Pandas DataFrame. Because, you know, gotta love Pandas for data manipulation.

Next up: Anomaly Detection

This is where it gets interesting. I didn’t want to just look at raw numbers. I wanted to find anomalies – those weird spikes or dips that might indicate a problem brewing. I tried a few different approaches:

  • Simple Moving Average: I started with something basic – calculating the moving average for each metric and flagging any data points that deviated significantly from the average. Super easy to implement, but not always the most accurate.
  • Z-Score: Next, I played around with Z-scores. This basically tells you how many standard deviations a data point is away from the mean. Again, pretty straightforward, but it assumes your data is normally distributed, which… yeah, not always the case.
  • Isolation Forest: Finally, I decided to get a little fancier and tried an Isolation Forest algorithm. This is an unsupervised learning technique that’s pretty good at detecting anomalies in high-dimensional data. I used scikit-learn for this, of course.

Bringing it all together: The “Who’s Up Next” Score

Whos Up Next? Spotting the Rising Stars in Music!

Okay, so now I had a bunch of anomaly scores for each service and each metric. How to combine them into a single “risk” score? I came up with a simple weighted average:

  • I assigned weights to each metric based on its importance. For example, high CPU usage might get a higher weight than slightly elevated memory consumption.
  • Then, for each service, I calculated the weighted average of its anomaly scores across all metrics. This gave me a single “who’s up next” score for each service.

The Result?

After running the script, I got a nice, ranked list of services, ordered by their “who’s up next” score. The services at the top of the list are the ones I’m keeping a close eye on. So far, it’s been pretty accurate in predicting which services are about to have a bad day.

What I learned:

  • Data is King: Garbage in, garbage out. If your metrics are inaccurate or incomplete, your anomaly detection will be useless.
  • Choose the Right Tool: Simple moving average is great for a quick check, but for more complex scenarios, you need something like Isolation Forest.
  • Tuning is Key: The weights you assign to each metric can have a huge impact on the results. Experiment and find what works best for your environment.

That’s the gist of it. It’s not perfect, but it’s a good starting point for proactively identifying potential problems in our cluster. Now, back to tweaking the weights and trying out some other anomaly detection algorithms! Wish me luck!

Whos Up Next? Spotting the Rising Stars in Music!
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