Okay, so, I’ve been keeping tabs on the Miami Dolphins’ playoff chances, and things are getting pretty interesting. I spent the whole afternoon crunching numbers and reading up on different scenarios. Here’s what I found out.

First off, I looked at their remaining schedule. They’re up against two teams with records under .500. That gave me some hope. I mean, if they can just win those games, things could look up, right?
Then, I started digging into what needs to happen for them to make the playoffs. I realized it’s not just about them winning. They need some other teams to lose, too. It’s like a puzzle, and all the pieces need to fit just right.
I found out that their chances are currently around 8% to get into the playoffs. This is according to The New York Times NFL playoff predictor. Pretty specific, huh? And I saw another figure from The Athletic that was pretty similar. So, it’s not just wishful thinking; there’s actual data backing it up.
But then, I stumbled upon some not-so-great news. Apparently, the Colts won their game, which kinda narrows the path for the Dolphins. It’s like one of those choose-your-own-adventure books where one wrong turn leads you down a path you didn’t want.
I started playing out these “what if” scenarios in my head. Like, what if the Dolphins win all their remaining games, and the Broncos lose a couple? It’s all hypothetical, but it’s fun to think about.

Next, I focused on their chances of getting the No. 1 seed. That seems like a long shot. But hey, why not dream big? It’s all about winning that game against Baltimore, or hoping the Bills lose to the Patriots. If either of those things happen, the division title is theirs. How crazy is that?
Here is the breakdown:
- Winning Out: I started by figuring out what happens if the Dolphins win their remaining games.
- Checking Other Teams: Then I had to look at other teams’ schedules and results. It’s not just about the Dolphins, unfortunately.
- Calculating Chances: I spent a good chunk of time trying to calculate the probability of all these different scenarios. My brain was fried by the end!
At the end, It’s definitely an uphill battle, but there’s still a chance. And honestly, that’s what makes being a fan so exciting, right? You never really know what’s going to happen until the very end. So, I’m keeping my fingers crossed and hoping for the best. Go Dolphins!